Response of the Land Climate System to Surface Hydrological and Radiative Forcing

Proposal to NASA NRA-02-OES-06 Multidisciplinary Research in Climate, Chemistry and Global Modeling

Principal Investigator: Robert E. Dickinson

Tel: 404-385-1509

Fax: 404-385-1510

Email: robted@eas.gatech.edu

 

Co-Investigators: Guiling Wang 2 , Hongbin Yu1, William Chameides1

1Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332-0340 2 University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269-2037

 

---

Abstract

The response of the land climate system to forcing involves not only the climate system sensitivity to TOA radiative fluxes, but also other sensitivities that are orthogonal to the response to TOA radiative flux changes. These other sensitivities are of comparable importance for determining climate change over land, i.e. the changes of surface temperatures and hydrological properties. The current theoretical framework of sensitivity to TOA fluxes is largely inappropriate to quantify such questions as what is the climate change resulting from land use changes since it depends significantly on other dimensions in sensitivity space. Perhaps an even more important question is the role of land in shorter time scale (e.g. seasonal) climate prediction, and the processes relevant to this question are largely orthogonal to TOA flux sensitivity. Hence the main objective of this proposal will be to develop quantitatively an alternative paradigm, arguably more appropriate for quantifying climate change at the land surface. Key elements of the forcing of land are the statistics of surface solar radiation fluxes and precipitation, and their interaction with the vegetation and soil. The former are highly dependent on details of clouds and aerosol distributions. High frequency temporal details are shown to be important. The response has been known to depend on the partitioning of radiation between canopy and soil and the partitioning of the precipitation between storage, evapotranspiration, and runoff. The new theme we will develop is the division among different time scales of the evapotranspiration and runoff. For example, precipitation that is immediately lost as runoff or evaporation is consequently not stored in the soil and so does not contribute to predictability of soil moisture or its feedbacks on precipitation. Hence, the correct modeling of these times scales is key for representing the contribution of land to seasonal to interannual predictability. The proposed work will use NASA satellite data for solar radiation, clouds and aerosols, and precipitation albedo, and LAI/FPAR and through their incorporation in a climate model quantify the processes involved and contribute to the improvement of various land models.

Progress Report 2005

 

---

Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate

School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences

Georgia Tech

311 Ferst Drive

Atlanta Georgia 30332-0340